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New Election Forecast From Liberal Poll Analyst Nate Silver Has Trump Leading BIG TIME
by Mike LaChance Sep. 6, 2024 10:00 pm
The new election forecast from liberal poll analyst Nate Silver is full of good news for Trump that must have Democrats terrified.
Silver has no incentive to publish a forecast that looks good for Trump. He gets nothing but grief from the left for doing it, so you know it’s genuine.
We still have weeks to go and anything can change, but this is looking very good for Trump right now.
Nate Silver Forecast Has Chance of Trump Winning at 61.5%, Harris at 38.3%
Statistician Nate Silver on Friday released his latest 2024 presidential election forecast, which shows former President Donald Trump at 61.5 percent and Vice President Kamala Harris at 38.3 percent.
The rise in Trump’s chances of 15.4 percent is a flip from Silver’s forecast on August 23, when Harris’s chances of winning were at 53.5 percent and Trump’s at 46.1 percent. Those numbers came right after the Democratic National Convention, when the vice president was still enjoying a mainstream media honeymoon.
Take a look at the breakdown of the numbers below:
One of the reasons I'm not super sympathetic to complaints about the convention bounce stuff is that Harris is in fact on the decline in polls over the past couple of weeks in most of the key swing states.
BREAKING: President Trump’s New York ‘Hush Money’ Sentencing Delayed Until After Election
Alvin Bragg, President Trump; Juan Merchan
by Cristina Laila Sep. 6, 2024 12:40 pm
President Trump’s New York ‘hush money’ sentencing has been delayed until after the 2024 election, Judge Juan Merchan ruled on Friday.
Trump was scheduled to be sentenced on September 18 but moved to November 26.
“This is not a decision this Court makes lightly but it is the decision which in this Court’s view, best advances the interests of justice,” Judge Juan Merchan wrote in the decision, NBC News reported.
President Trump’s lawyers previously asked Juan Merchan to delay the September 18 sentencing after the Supreme Court’s presidential immunity ruling. Judge Merchan said he would issue a decision by September 16.
Judge Merchan also pushed back his ruling on the presidential immunity dispute to November 12.
President Trump’s lawyers previously asked a federal court to intervene in Alvin Bragg’s ‘hush money’ case following the Supreme Court’s presidential immunity ruling.
In July the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that Trump has absolute immunity for his core Constitutional powers.
Judge Alvin Hellerstein, a Clinton appointee, rejected Trump’s request to move the case and said “nothing” in the Supreme Court’s ruling affected his previous conclusion that Trump’s payments are considered unofficial acts.
President Trump’s attorneys on Tuesday evening filed an urgent appeal to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals to prevent the corrupt New York judicial system from ignoring the Supreme Court’s presidential immunity ruling and jailing Trump.
“Unlawfully incarcerating President Trump in the final weeks of the Presidential election, while early voting is ongoing, would irreparably harm the First Amendment rights of President Trump and voters located far beyond New York County,” Trump’s lawyers wrote.
UPDATE: @RealDonaldTrump legal team files urgent appeal for US Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit to prevent corrupt, compromised, and conflicted New York judicial system from ignoring the US Supreme Court and jailing Trump: "Unlawfully incarcerating President Trump in the…
— Tom Fitton (@TomFitton) September 5, 2024
Earlier this year Trump was convicted on all 34 felony counts after he was accused of paying porn star Stormy Daniels, AKA, Stephanie Clifford, ‘hush payments’ through his then-attorney Michael Cohen in a scheme to silence her and stop the story about their alleged affair from being published in the National Enquirer.
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg alleged Trump committed fraud because the payment was labeled “legal fees.”
Carney on Kudlow: Trump Tackles the Harris Affordability Crisis
Breitbart News economics editor John Carney said Thursday on Fox Business Network’s “Kudlow” that former President Donald Trump’s speech to the Economic Club of New York laid out how to tackle the affordability crisis.
Host Larry Kudlow said, “Trump at the New York Economic Club today, address the affordability crisis.”
He continued, “John Carney, you’re my affordability expert. I mean, I think he hammered pretty hard today, but I’ll ask you, did he get it done?”
Carney said, “He did get it done. He both addressed housing affordability, which is a big problem in the United States. It’s one of the things that all the surveys show are really hurting people. And he said he’s going to open up land that we can build on and he’s going to do permitting reform to make energy affordable. That’s absolutely necessary. Those are two things that when you ask people, what are the things that bother them the most about the Biden-Harris affordability crisis Housing and energy.”
Kudlow said, “So he did, he mentioned opening up federal lands for housing purposes. Bad enough they won’t do it for any oil and gas, I understand that. But he threw in housing, which I think is a new wrinkle.”
Carney said, “It is a new wrinkle. The other thing that he mentioned as well is there’s a lot of regulation, environmental regulation in particular, that stands in the way of building houses right now today. If you talk to builders they say trying to get the permits, the regulatory permits to build houses gets in the way. That can be addressed at a presidential, at a federal level because a lot of it is federal regulation.”
Trump To Unveil Bold Economic Plan To ‘Make America Affordable Again’
by John Carney
In a high-profile speech set for Thursday at the Economic Club of New York, Donald Trump will lay out a comprehensive economic vision under the banner of “Make America Affordable Again,” aimed at restoring affordability and driving down the high cost of living that many Americans have faced under the Biden-Harris administration.
Trump’s plan focuses on cutting government waste, scaling back regulatory overreach, and unleashing domestic energy production—all pillars he sees as essential to revitalizing the economy.
A centerpiece of Trump’s agenda is the creation of a government efficiency commission, an idea suggested by tech entrepreneur Elon Musk, which would conduct a full audit of the federal government to identify waste, fraud, and inefficiencies. Trump’s goal, according to people familiar with the speech, is to streamline government operations and curb inflation by reducing unnecessary spending. The proposal has already garnered attention, with Musk publicly backing it as a way to rein in bloated bureaucracy.
The news that Trump would endorse the Musk commission was first reported by the Wall Street Journal.
For Trump, the speech serves as a clear contrast to the Biden-Harris economic policies, which he argues have only made life more expensive for American families. Polls show Trump holding a notable lead over Vice President Kamala Harris on handling economic issues—a reflection of growing frustration with rising costs and the economic challenges of recent years. By leaning into his record of deregulation and fiscal restraint, Trump aims to present himself as the leader who can make the American economy affordable once again.
Trump’s plan also includes a strong push for deregulation, focusing specifically on the housing and energy sectors. By cutting back on regulations and opening federal land for large-scale housing development, Trump hopes to lower housing costs, a pressing issue for many Americans. His approach to energy, which centers on fast-tracking approvals for drilling and pipelines, is designed to reduce energy prices dramatically—a goal that reflects his longstanding emphasis on energy independence and affordability.
Another key element of Trump’s “Make America Affordable Again” plan is his promise to rescind unspent funds from the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, which he has consistently criticized for contributing to government overreach and failing to deliver real relief to Americans. By targeting unused funds tied to programs such as the IRS, Trump is betting that fiscal conservatives will rally behind his effort to rein in excessive spending and bureaucracy.
Trump is also expected to reiterate his support for “smart tariffs” on imports, particularly from China, as a way to bolster domestic manufacturing. Unlike critics who warn that tariffs could raise consumer prices, Trump views them as a vital tool for protecting American industry, keeping the economy competitive, and opening markets around the globe to U.S. companies. His campaign maintains that tariffs will help reduce inflation by encouraging domestic production—a central theme of his economic agenda.
“Smart tariffs will not create inflation, they will combat inflation,” Trump plans to say, according to the Wall Street Journal. “A combination of fair trade, tax cuts, regulatory cuts and energy abundance will allow us to produce more goods, better and cheaper right here in the U.S.A.”
Vice President Kamala Harris, for her part, has been working to distance herself from the policies of the Biden-Harris administration, which many Americans see as responsible for skyrocketing inflation and higher costs of living. Trump is expected to remind voters that Harris cast tie-breaking votes for many of the administration’s key spending measures.
Trump’s “Make America Affordable Again” initiative is likely to resonate with voters who are feeling the pressure of rising costs. With its emphasis on cutting regulations, boosting domestic production, and reducing wasteful government spending, Trump’s plan offers a clear contrast to the economic policies of the current administration.
The Socialist International Endorses Kamala Harris for the 2024 Presidential Elections
Joana Campos
Sep. 6, 2024
The Socialist International, the worldwide organization of social democratic, socialist, and labor parties, has publicly expressed its support for Kamala Harris’s candidacy in the upcoming U.S. presidential election on November 5th. This is another step in recognizing Kamala as an extreme left-wing leader.
In its official statement, the organization declared:
«From the Socialist International, we proudly support @KamalaHarris in her candidacy for the upcoming election on November 5th. We are confident that she will make history as the first female President of the United States.»
Desde la Internacional Socialista, apoyamos con orgullo a… pic.twitter.com/4OSY8vzUj2
— Socialist International (@Soc_Intl) August 23, 2024
From the Socialist International, we proudly support KamalaHarris in her candidacy for the upcoming November 5th elections. We are confident she will make history as the first woman President of the United States.
This endorsement could significantly impact Harris’s campaign, as she seeks to make history as the first woman to reach the presidency.
Unfortunately, there are Hispanics living in the U.S. who support and identify with far-left candidates like Kamala, despite the fact that these individuals come to the country seeking freedom and prosperity. Harris aims to regulate public market prices and promote policies that only communist Cuba or Maduro’s Venezuela would consider implementing.
New FEC Filing Reveals Kamala Harris Paid Judge Merchan’s Daughter’s Political Firm – A Clear Violation of the New York State Judicial Code of Conduct
Judge Juan Merchan with his daughter Lauren who is a leftwing activist and is using the trial to make money for Democrats.
by Cristina Laila Sep. 6, 2024 3:40 pm
Kamala Harris’s most recent FEC filing shows she paid Judge Juan Merchan’s daughter’s political firm for services.
Juan Merchan is the far-left, conflicted judge who oversaw Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s Stormy Daniels ‘hush money’ trial against President Trump.
The judge’s daughter, Loren Merchan, is a far-left political operative who worked for the Biden-Harris campaign.
Loren Merchan’s firm, Authentic Campaigns, Inc., has received tens of millions of dollars from Democrats who want to take down Trump.
“Today I filed a new judicial ethics complaint with the New York State Commission because new evidence on Kamala Harris’ most recent FEC filing shows she hired and paid Acting Justice Juan Merchan’s adult daughter’s company,” GOP Congresswoman Elise Stefanik announced on Friday.
“This is a clear violation of the New York State Judicial Code of Conduct which dictates that a judge must recuse from a case where a relative up to and including the sixth degree has a financial interest in the outcome of the case,” she said.
Judge Merchan still has not recused himself from Trump’s ‘hush money’ trial.
Rep. Stefanik’s full complaint to the New York State Commission:
I am writing to you concerning potential ethical issues with respect to Acting Manhattan Supreme Court Justice Juan Merchan. On May 21, 2024, I filed a complaint against Justice Merchan concerning his presiding over the pending criminal case of former President Donald J. Trump. The New York State Commission on Judicial Conduct (the Commission) rejected the complaint on July 3, 2024. As of today, President Trump is scheduled for sentencing on September 18, 2024, at which he faces up to 136 years’ imprisonment. New information has come to light that merits a fresh look into Justice Merchan’s conflict. Neither the Appellate Division nor the Advisory Committee on Judicial Ethics could have known about this material when they issued opinions as to Justice Merchan’s continuing to preside over President Trump’s case.
On July 21, 2024, President Joe Biden announced that he would not seek a second term. Within a few days, Vice President Kamala Harris was anointed to become the Democrat Party’s nominee for the presidency. During his campaign, President Biden used one company, Amazon Web Services (AWS), for the campaign’s web hosting services.1 President Biden’s campaign paid AWS throughout 2023 through the suspension of his campaign in July 2024. On August 20, 2024, Vice President Harris’s campaign submitted its first Federal Election Commission (FEC) report that documented expenses and donations through July 31, 2024. In the report, specifically on Form 3P, line 232, a July 30, 2024, disbursement appears in the amount of $468.00 from Vice President Harris’s campaign to Authentic Campaigns Inc. (Authentic) for web hosting services. This indicates that one of the very first things that Harris did upon taking over the Biden campaign infrastructure is to hire this firm, Authentic.
Authentic is a digital consulting and marketing firm that services Democrat candidates. Loren Merchan, Justice Merchan’s daughter, is its president. Vice President Harris changed web hosting companies from AWS to Authentic immediately after becoming the presumptive Democrat presidential nominee. As the FEC report’s filing did not occur until August 20, nearly a month after the Harris campaign and Authentic had begun doing business, no one in the public, including the Commission, could have known of the relationship. This is merely the beginning of a new contract with a new campaign, regardless of the amount reimbursed. Sure, there’s an immediate benefit, but this is a play at a potential larger benefit for Authentic and Merchan down the road.
The Code of Conduct, specifically § 100.3(E)(1)(d)(iii), dictates that a judge must recuse from a case where a relative up to and including the sixth degree has a financial interest in the outcome of the case. Ms. Merchan is related to Justice Merchan in the first degree. Authentic has a newly active financial relationship with Vice President Harris’s campaign. President Trump’s sentencing, an event which will garner worldwide media coverage, is imminent. This event, a month and a half prior to the November 5 election, could have a profound impact on that election; indeed, some states will have commenced mail voting by that date. Given this revelation of a brand-new conflict of interest for Judge Merchan, I respectfully request that the Commission engage in a fresh inquiry concerning Justice Merchan’s conflict and take any appropriate action resulting from it.
Today I filed a new judicial ethics complaint with the New York State Commission because new evidence on Kamala Harris’ most recent FEC filing shows she hired and paid Acting Justice Juan Merchan’s adult daughter’s company. This is a clear violation of the New York State… pic.twitter.com/Il7PwjSXIR
— Elise Stefanik (@EliseStefanik) September 6, 2024
America First Legal sued Judge Juan Merchan for financial disclosures amid reports his daughter’s political firm has made tens of millions of dollars off of his trial against Trump.
AFL sued Juan Merchan and argued that under New York law, judges are required to file annual financial disclosures.
“Clearly, Justice Merchan’s daughter and her clients stand to profit handsomely from lawfare against President Trump,” AFL wrote in its lawsuit, according to Fox News.
Last month House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan subpoenaed the company, Authentic Campaigns, Inc., of Judge Juan Merchan’s daughter Loren.
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